NHC Atlantic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster) — Tue, 21 Sep 2021 05:14:14 GMT

000
ABNT20 KNHC 210514
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Sep 21 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Peter, located about 100 miles north of the northern Leeward
Islands, and on Tropical Storm Rose, located over the eastern
tropical Atlantic Ocean.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located a
few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continue
to show some signs of organization. Environmental conditions are
expected to become more conducive for development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form later this week while the system moves
westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A storm-force, non-tropical low pressure system, the remnants of
Odette, is located several hundred miles southeast of Newfoundland.
This low could acquire some subtropical characteristics during the
next few days while it moves slowly southeastward over warmer waters
across the north-central Atlantic Ocean. However, the system is
expected to turn northward back over cooler waters this weekend,
which should end its chances of becoming a subtropical storm.
Additional information on this system, including storm warnings, can
be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Summary for Tropical Storm Peter (AT1/AL162021)

nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster) — Tue, 21 Sep 2021 08:35:20 GMT

...DISORGANIZED PETER PASSING TO THE NORTH OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS... As of 5:00 AM AST Tue Sep 21 the center of Peter was located near 19.6, -63.8 with movement W at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

Tropical Storm Peter Public Advisory Number 11

nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster) — Tue, 21 Sep 2021 08:35:20 GMT

Issued at 500 AM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 000 WTNT31 KNHC 210835 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Peter Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162021 500 AM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 ...DISORGANIZED PETER PASSING TO THE NORTH OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.6N 63.8W ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM NNW OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the northern Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Peter was located near latitude 19.6 North, longitude 63.8 West. Peter is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h). A west-northwest motion is expected to resume later today and continue for the next day or two. A turn to the north with a decrease in forward speed is expected later this week. On the forecast track, the center of Peter will pass north of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico today. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening is forecast during the next few days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Rainfall around the southern periphery of Tropical Storm Peter could produce additional rainfall totals of 1 to 4 inches, with storm total accumulations up to 6 inches, across portions of the Northern Leeward Islands, including portions of the Virgin Islands, as well as Puerto Rico and the northern portions of Hispaniola through Thursday morning. This rainfall may lead to areas of urban and small stream flooding. SURF: Swells generated by Peter are affecting the northern Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico, and will continue spreading westward to Hispaniola later today and the Bahamas on Wednesday. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi ]]>

Tropical Storm Peter Forecast Advisory Number 11

nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster) — Tue, 21 Sep 2021 08:35:20 GMT

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 21 2021 000 WTNT21 KNHC 210835 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM PETER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162021 0900 UTC TUE SEP 21 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 63.8W AT 21/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 63.8W AT 21/0900Z AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 63.3W FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 20.3N 65.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.2N 66.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.2N 67.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 23.2N 68.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 24.0N 68.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 25.2N 67.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 27.2N 65.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 29.2N 64.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 63.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI ]]>

Tropical Storm Peter Forecast Discussion Number 11

nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster) — Tue, 21 Sep 2021 08:35:46 GMT

Issued at 500 AM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 588 WTNT41 KNHC 210835 TCDAT1 Tropical Storm Peter Discussion Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162021 500 AM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 Peter is a ragged and strongly sheared tropical storm. Satellite images and surface observations indicate that the low-level center is fully exposed and located about 100 miles west-southwest of the edge of the main area of deep convection. This very asymmetric structure is due to strong west-southwesterly shear associated with an upper-level low to the northwest of Peter. The initial intensity is held at 45 kt based on the Dvorak CI-numbers from TAFB and SAB, but this could be a little generous. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the storm later this morning. Since the storm has decoupled, the low-level center has been moving just south of due west at 265/10 kt. This motion has brought the storm to the southwest of the previous track. The models insist that Peter will turn back to the west-northwest soon and continue moving in that direction during the next couple of days as the storm moves in the flow on the southwest side of a mid-level ridge. After that time, a turn to the north and then northeast is expected as Peter moves toward broad troughing over the north Atlantic. The latest run of the ECMWF has come into line with the remainder of the guidance, and the new forecast is to the west of, and slower than, the previous one. This prediction lies on the south side of the guidance envelope during the first 24 hours of the forecast. Peter is expected to remain in fairly hostile conditions during the next few days with strong westerly shear continuing and dry air likely entraining into the circulation. These negative factors for the storm should cause a slow decay, and that is reflected in the NHC forecast. In fact, some of the guidance suggests that Peter could succumb to the hostile conditions and open into a trough later this week. The NHC intensity forecast is the same as the previous one and in line with the majority of the guidance. Key Messages: 1. Rainfall around the southern periphery of Tropical Storm Peter could lead to areas of urban and small stream flooding through Tuesday across northern Hispaniola, Puerto Rico, portions of the Virgin Islands, and the Northern Leeward Islands. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 21/0900Z 19.6N 63.8W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 21/1800Z 20.3N 65.3W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 22/0600Z 21.2N 66.9W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 22/1800Z 22.2N 67.9W 35 KT 40 MPH 48H 23/0600Z 23.2N 68.2W 35 KT 40 MPH 60H 23/1800Z 24.0N 68.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 72H 24/0600Z 25.2N 67.2W 30 KT 35 MPH 96H 25/0600Z 27.2N 65.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 120H 26/0600Z 29.2N 64.2W 30 KT 35 MPH $$ Forecaster Cangialosi ]]>

Tropical Storm Peter Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11

nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster) — Tue, 21 Sep 2021 08:35:46 GMT

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 21 2021 589 FONT11 KNHC 210835 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM PETER WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162021 0900 UTC TUE SEP 21 2021 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PETER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI ]]>

Tropical Storm Peter Graphics

nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster) — Tue, 21 Sep 2021 08:36:46 GMT

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 21 Sep 2021 08:36:46 GMT

Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 21 Sep 2021 08:36:46 GMT

Summary for Tropical Storm Rose (AT2/AL172021)

nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster) — Tue, 21 Sep 2021 08:36:48 GMT

...ROSE BEGINS TO WEAKEN... As of 5:00 AM AST Tue Sep 21 the center of Rose was located near 21.0, -36.4 with movement NW at 20 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

Tropical Storm Rose Public Advisory Number 9

nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster) — Tue, 21 Sep 2021 08:36:48 GMT

Issued at 500 AM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 000 WTNT32 KNHC 210836 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rose Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172021 500 AM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 ...ROSE BEGINS TO WEAKEN... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.0N 36.4W ABOUT 880 MI...1420 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rose was located near latitude 21.0 North, longitude 36.4 West. Rose is moving toward the northwest near 20 mph (31 km/h). A slower northwestward motion is expected during the next couple of days followed by a turn to the north. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued slow weakening is expected during the next few days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi ]]>

Tropical Storm Rose Forecast Advisory Number 9

nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster) — Tue, 21 Sep 2021 08:36:17 GMT

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 21 2021 000 WTNT22 KNHC 210836 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM ROSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172021 0900 UTC TUE SEP 21 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 36.4W AT 21/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 40SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 36.4W AT 21/0900Z AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 36.2W FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.4N 37.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.8N 38.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.0N 39.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 26.4N 40.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 27.7N 41.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 29.0N 40.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 30.7N 36.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 32.8N 31.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 36.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI ]]>

Tropical Storm Rose Forecast Discussion Number 9

nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster) — Tue, 21 Sep 2021 08:37:16 GMT

Issued at 500 AM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 000 WTNT42 KNHC 210837 TCDAT2 Tropical Storm Rose Discussion Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172021 500 AM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 Rose has lost organization over the past several hours. Satellite images show a fully exposed low-level center with only a small area of deep convection lingering in the southeastern quadrant. The Dvorak classifications have decreased, and the initial intensity is nudged downward to 40 kt. Rose is moving northwestward at 17 kt. This general heading but with a decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days as the storm is steered by the flow on the southwest side of a low- to mid-level ridge. By late this week and over the weekend, a sharp turn to the north and then the northeast is expected as Rose becomes embedded in the flow on the south side of a broad deep-layer trough. Although there is some spread in the guidance, the models all show the same general theme. The NHC track forecast lies near the middle of the guidance envelope. The environment is expected to become increasingly unfavorable for Rose during the next several days with westerly shear increasing and dry air expected to wrap into the circulation. These conditions should promote a weakening trend, and the cyclone is forecast to become a remnant low by the weekend when it should be over cooler waters and in an environment of more than 30 kt of shear. Some of the models suggest that Rose could become a remnant low or open into a trough sooner than that, and if the current trend continues that is a distinct possibility. The new forecast is largely an update of the previous one, but does show the storm becoming a remnant low a day earlier. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 21/0900Z 21.0N 36.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 21/1800Z 22.4N 37.2W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 22/0600Z 23.8N 38.3W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 22/1800Z 25.0N 39.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 48H 23/0600Z 26.4N 40.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 60H 23/1800Z 27.7N 41.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 72H 24/0600Z 29.0N 40.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 96H 25/0600Z 30.7N 36.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 26/0600Z 32.8N 31.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Cangialosi ]]>

Tropical Storm Rose Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9

nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster) — Tue, 21 Sep 2021 08:36:48 GMT

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 21 2021 000 FONT12 KNHC 210836 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM ROSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172021 0900 UTC TUE SEP 21 2021 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ROSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 36.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI ]]>

Tropical Storm Rose Graphics

nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster) — Tue, 21 Sep 2021 02:46:42 GMT

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 21 Sep 2021 02:46:42 GMT

Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 21 Sep 2021 03:28:36 GMT